After sabarimala ,Kerala political equations fast changing

Agitators in Nilakkal 

After Sabarimala, Kerala’s political equations fast changing

 Equations in math’s change very rarely, and only when a new scientist or group of scientists invent that the equation is wrong. That will happen only after research for centuries. But, political equations change just as climate , too fast. That we saw in J&K recently and in Bihar many a times and in North East also.

After 30 years of CPM rule, Bengal politics wiped out CPM. Trinamool came as number one and the second position is occupied by BJP.

In Kerala, Sabarimala issue is an agenda setter. Supreme Court order on entry of women of all ages to Sabarimala is a strong rope got to BJP to consolidate traditional Hindus into its umbrella and it succeeded in that count. LDF got it as an opportunity  to move away from lapses under post flood activities, the sexual harassment allegations against Bishop Franco Mulakkal , P.K.Sasi,MLA, nepotisms and corruption charges.

Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan and BJP leader Sreedharan pillai are the happy faces now. Congress is the party that crunched in between the two major consolidations linked to Sabarimala issue. The devotees, a few belong to CPM also leaned towards BJP , but minorities en masse may shift to LDF. That may happen in near future.

KPCC president Mullappally Ramachandran, leader of opposition Ramesh Chennithala, the number of working presidents and General Secretaries can not make a strategic stand to come to forward line. The master mind of such moves ,Oommen chandy is in exile and by doing that , Congress high command made clear the ground for BJP and CPM.

In near future, Indian Union Muslim League and Kerala Congress(Mani) , the apostles of minority communities , their leaders are too close to present Kerala CM, may join the LDF . That will in effect kill two birds with one stone. CPI, the youger brother in LDF, is a headache for  “development “ of Munnar and such areas and objected the small supports given to dear and  near  as the law academy episode. Now, Kanam Rajendran is in low profile as his ministers are not at all excelling in performance , but may be a hindrance in future. Even CPI leaves the group, that will not affect the prospect of LDF. If so, LDF can rule Kerala for a minimum of  3-4 terms and BJP will emerge as the opposition party and UDF will be the sad third front.

If the equations made by the political scientists smoothly fit in, this may be the future of Kerala politics.